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Mr Simone Mancini

Mr Simone Mancini

Mr Simone Mancini

Area of research

Physics-based Forecasting of Earthquake Sequences (Supervisor: Dr Max Werner)

Office G10b
Wills Memorial Building,
Queens Road, Clifton BS8 1RJ
(See a map)

+44 (0) 117 954 5695


My research covers the development of testable short-term earthquake forecast models that describe the spatiotemporal evolution of seismic sequences. Earthquake forecasting is a trending topic of research both as a potential tool for more informed decision making during early post-disaster phases (e.g. for civil protection purposes) and as a testing ground for different hypotheses on which mechanisms drive earthquake triggering and cascading. I particularly focus on the improvement of physics-based and empirical forecasts performance, which I evaluate by means of standard statistical metrics in both pseudo-prospective and retrospective mode.


BSc in Geological Sciences from Roma Tre University, 2011

Msc in Geodynamics and Volcanology from Sapienza University of Rome, 2014

Civil Service at Presidency of the Council of Ministers – Italian Department of Civil Protection, 2015-2016

Research Fellowship at Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (Rome) - National Earthquake Centre, 2016




  • Short-term earthquake forecasting
  • Earthquake triggering
  • Statistical seismology



School of Earth Sciences

Postgraduate students

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Recent publications

View complete publications list in the University of Bristol publications system

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