Professor Willy Aspinall

Latest publications

• Bamber, JL, Oppenheimer, M, Kopp, RE, Aspinall, WP & Cooke, RM, 2019, ‘Ice sheet contributions to future sea-level rise from structured expert judgment’. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
• Beven, KJ, Almeida, S, Aspinall, WP, Bates, PD, Blazkova, S, Borgomeo, E, Freer, J, Goda, K, Hall, JW, Phillips, JC, Simpson, M, Smith, PJ, Stephenson, DB, Wagener, T, Watson, M & Wilkins, KL, 2018, ‘Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 1: A review of different natural hazard areas’. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol 18., pp. 2741-2768
• Quigley, J, Colson, A, Aspinall, W & Cooke, RM, 2018, ‘Elicitation in the classical model’. in: International Series in Operations Research and Management Science. Springer, New York, NY, pp. 15-36
• Hincks, T, Aspinall, W, Cooke, R & Gernon, T, 2018, ‘Oklahoma’s induced seismicity strongly linked to wastewater injection depth’. Science, vol 359., pp. 1251-1255
• Beven, K, Almeida, SM, Aspinall, W, Bates, P, Blazkova, S, Borgomeo, E, Goda, K, Phillips, J, Simpson, M, Smith, P, Stephenson, D, Wagener, T, Watson, M & Wilkins, K, 2018, ‘Epistemic uncertainties and natural hazard risk assessment - Part 2: Different natural hazard areas’. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol 18., pp. 2769-2783
• Bamber, J, Oppenheimer, M, Kopp, R, Cooke, R & Aspinall, W, 2018, ‘Ice sheet contributions to future sea level rise from a structured expert judgement approach’.
• Bretton, R, Ciolli, S, Christiani, C, Gottsmann, J, Christie, R & Aspinall, W, 2018, ‘Volcanic Unrest Simulation Exercises: Checklists and Guidance Notes’. in: [tbc]. Springer Berlin Heidelberg
• Tadini, A, Bisson, M, Neri, A, Cioni, R, Bevilacqua, A & Aspinall, WP, 2017, ‘Assessing future vent opening locations at the Somma-Vesuvio volcanic complex: 1. A new information geodatabase with uncertainty characterizations’. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, vol 122., pp. 4336-4356
• Lamb, R, Aspinall, W, Odbert, H & Wagener, T, 2017, ‘Vulnerability of bridges to scour: Insights from an international expert elicitation workshop’. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol 17., pp. 1393-1409
• Ioannou, I, Aspinall, W, Rush, D, Bisby, L & Rossetto, T, 2017, ‘Expert judgment-based fragility assessment of reinforced concrete buildings exposed to fire’. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, vol 167., pp. 105-127